kafish2 wrote:... What I mean by that is that climbing and especially training for climbing is a very young activity. However, that is not true for golfing, running, etc... If you look at performance levels of these other sports there is not as dramatic of progression of the sport as we are seeing in climbing. That is because we are still figuring out how best to train for climbing and as a result we are still seeing rapid increases in the level of elite climbing. This leads me to think we are not at the peak of our physical limits of the sport, or we are just now nearing them, so our version of elite will be obsolete in a few years time. My guess is low level 5.14 will be a joke in 10 years as standards get pushed closer to a truly elite level that pushes the limits of the "gifted" human body.
This is the variable that I was not sure where climbing standards today fit into the evolution of the sport. I was thinking about it more though, and comparing it back to gymnastics. What we have going on in most rock climbing gyms would be like a bunch of old people (by old I mean age 20 or more) running around the gym playing on the equipment 2 or 3 times a week for a couple of hours. The real gymnasts (those that have trained in a structured environment from age 5 and now spend 20-25 hours per week in the gym with a coach and a highly disciplined work out) would be laughing at the silly old people screwing around trying to learn how to do a back flip (climb 5.12).
So, going back to those same 50 kids and instead start training them in the rock gym with climbing/coaching experts with the same work out ethics as a high level gymnastics program, I would have to believe that most of them would be crushing 5.14 before they were 16.
kafish2, you have changed my mind. The problem is as SCIN says, we would have to roll back to the time clock for most of us to change up our training to hit that type of level. Of course there are genetic mutants that can do it with less, but just imagine where they would be if they had had that type of dedicated training since childhood.