Yay early spring this year!!

[caribe]

oh wait . . . .
"Of these 115 predictions on record so far, Punxsutawney Phil has predicted an early spring 15 times (13%). As to his accuracy, according to the StormFax Weather Almanac and records kept since 1887, Phil's predictions have been correct 39% of the time."

[Brentucky]

myth hater...

[Saxman]

They should get an octopus. If one of them can correctly guess the winner of every soccer match, then the weather should be no problem.

[ReachHigh]

Don't destroy my hope.


it is bad to have worse odds then a coin toss.

[One-Fall]

So if we flip a coin, we can up the accuracy by 11%?

[heavyc]

or maybe if you just plan the opposite of what the groundhog predicts you could get up to 61%

[caribe]

I love this stuff.

"According to folklore, if it is cloudy when a groundhog emerges from its burrow on this day, it will leave the burrow, signifying that winter-like weather will soon end. If it is sunny, the groundhog will supposedly see its shadow and retreat back into its burrow, and the winter weather will continue for six more weeks."

Just look at the stats and make a rewrite.
If it is cloudy when a groundhog emerges from its burrow on this day, it will leave the burrow, signifying that winter-like weather will continue and the little fellow wants to stretch a bit because he know that he has to sleep for a long time. If it is sunny, the groundhog will supposedly see its shadow and retreat back into its burrow, and the winter weather will soon end and he wants to get as much sleep as he possibly can.

With the rewrite Phil is over 60% accurate.

[toad857]

groundhogs are not meant to be pets

[JR]

Don't drive angry!!!

[der uber]

Unfortunately that octopus has passed away.

At this point I'll take 39% success.